<p> She said: "I played 20 film is also said to be a vase,hollister abercrombie, singing please give me 20 chances." Borrowing the famous words of the goddess to Shangqie young numerical prediction excuse the phrase,abercrombie soldes, "the ancients studied the N dynasties weather for us observation, just draw some 'Cha Buli' of weather lore, but also tender for numerical prediction, please give us a few decades. " Atmospheric motion mapSecond, air movement is more complicated than you think, so far, our understanding of atmospheric motion in the law is still very limited. There is a very beautiful word sounds,chaussure louboutin pas cher, it describes a very child heart of the fact that the "butterfly effect." "A South American Amazon River Basin rainforest butterfly, occasionally flapping its wings a few, can cause Texas, a tornado two weeks later." Butterfly flapping its wings like this,abercrombie fitch, not to mention the urban heat island,chaussures femme pas cher, the greenhouse effect and the effects of local topography and so intricate the atmosphere, coupled with the atmospheric movement itself there are inherent randomness. This complex, thorough understanding of the various factors and find out the multitude of analog operation in precise detail is almost impossible to describe,louboutin pas cher, we can also say that we can not completely true comprehensive simulation of atmospheric evolution, can only be done approximately, infinitely close realistically it is simulated, and therefore inevitably there is an error. For example,abercrombie fitch, if the weather forecast pulse likened to God, then God is the ghost a few butterflies out cold, and who they were, what they each use "tricks",giubbotti peuterey, it is hard eyes, perspicacious insight into everything and then turn lists, so the symptoms of God's judgment is just finished playing a few sneezing, runny nose or tears grabbed,abercrombie and fitch paris, coughing and sneezing can not do battle together wherever, Shuoyibuer! Third,abercrombie 2015, even if we can accurately express equations of atmospheric motion, the next link in the calculation will still encounter "bottleneck." Computer calculates sounds very simple, very intelligent, and the world's most advanced computer.</p>
<p> radar and other forecasters equivalent to using the placement of the "telescope",spaccio moncler, since the movement of the typhoon will not be able to escape the human eye, sudden heavy rainfall within the range of several hundred kilometers are no longer on chronic forecast a. But in fact, these high-tech means of observation also have weaknesses. For example,barbour 2015, polar-orbiting meteorological satellite from Earth closer,barbour france, higher resolution, but it is impossible to observe a particular area intently when it deviates from this region in the movement in the region temporarily become observer "blind spot",abercrombie and fitch paris, while some Weather may happen to occur at this time. So bad, missing. In addition to these objective reasons, the weather forecast is not accurate but also with a number of subjective factors. From the perspective of forecasters say that forecasting is subject to the technical level, forecasting experience constraints, which goes without saying. In addition.</p>
<p> forecasters bear responsibility too heavy, too much pressure,barbour paris, making it difficult to achieve easy battle,christian louboutin pas cher, worry about their work. In fact, forecasters really is the world's most willing to say the truth, which no man than forecasters predict more urgent desire can never miss, never acts. It was his duty, his obligation, he embodies the platform of social values and ethics. Therefore, once criticized the mistakes of leadership, influence public opinion,magasin hollister, public accusations appear, the weight of their own guilt often breathless, that is difficult to erase the psychological shadow accompanied even his life. This made them hesitant, I want to stop and words, to and fro to grasp the scale, calibrate, efficiency and forecasts predict will inevitably affect the quality. From the public's point of view, inaccurate forecasts with people's psychological expectations too high and selective memory related. In public life, the weather forecast for clothing, travel, tourism and so on everyday matters significance is not only a reference or even rise to the dependent, therefore, on weather forecasts hold very high public expectations, but also that the meteorological department is to eat This bowl of rice,zanotti 2015, there is no reason not to give you an accurate result authority. So, when the forecast accuracy when we think it is normal.</p>
<p> is the kind of computing speed trillion times per second, thousands of "big man", it settles down to the meteorological department. But you know the big, complex arithmetic calculation of the value of the forecasts can be said that to the extent that "abnormal", the world's smartest computer will be "timid", fluid mechanics and thermodynamics for solving equations describing the evolution of weather When it is difficult to be perfect, so extreme, it remains to be the computing power continues to increase in the forecast demand in terms of its operation bias may still exist, is also why, only one said the revised manual. Fourth, the forecast accuracy is also limited by means of observation. The birth of satellites.</p>
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