<p> "the ancients studied the N dynasties weather for us observation, just draw some 'Cha Buli' of weather lore,nike tn,http://periscopewebvideo.com/user/111787/fbconnect, but also tender for numerical prediction, please give us a few decades. " Atmospheric motion mapSecond, air movement is more complicated than you think,air max 90 outlet, so far,air max pas cher femme, our understanding of atmospheric motion in the law is still very limited. There is a very beautiful word sounds, it describes a very child heart of the fact that the "butterfly effect." "A South American Amazon River Basin rainforest butterfly,giubbotti peuterey, occasionally flapping its wings a few, can cause Texas,zanotti pas cher, a tornado two weeks later." Butterfly flapping its wings like this, not to mention the urban heat island, the greenhouse effect and the effects of local topography and so intricate the atmosphere, coupled with the atmospheric movement itself there are inherent randomness. This complex, thorough understanding of the various factors and find out the multitude of analog operation in precise detail is almost impossible to describe, we can also say that we can not completely true comprehensive simulation of atmospheric evolution, can only be done approximately, infinitely close realistically it is simulated, and therefore inevitably there is an error. For example,zanotti homme, if the weather forecast pulse likened to God, then God is the ghost a few butterflies out cold, and who they were,louboutin femme pas cher, what they each use "tricks", it is hard eyes,tn requin, perspicacious insight into everything and then turn lists.</p>
<p> Although dating back as early as the Shang dynasty 3,000 years ago,http://capricci.whitesnow.jp/bottle/apeboard_plus.cgi?command=read_message&msgnum=30/, China had a record of meteorological observation, but the establishment of the weather forecast on the basis of modern science is only a hundred years of history, especially for the world's common numerical prediction method , the country began in 1955 to explore research, 1969 was officially released short-term numerical weather prediction. Just a few years time,http://blog.clzg.cn/home.php?mod=spacecp&ac=blog&blogid=, we can not blame it be "foolproof." This allows us can not help but think of the May 2014 Strawberry Festival in Beijing, actress Maggie Cheung singing out of tune for his self-deprecating. She said: "I played 20 film is also said to be a vase, singing please give me 20 chances." Borrowing the famous words of the goddess to Shangqie young numerical prediction excuse the phrase.</p>
<p> so the symptoms of God's judgment is just finished playing a few sneezing, runny nose or tears grabbed, coughing and sneezing can not do battle together wherever, Shuoyibuer! Third,veste barbour, even if we can accurately express equations of atmospheric motion, the next link in the calculation will still encounter "bottleneck." Computer calculates sounds very simple,http://tw.disk999.com/forum.php?mod=viewthread&tid=1349123, very intelligent,http://syrup.mints.ne.jp/diary/diary.cgi?command=read_message&msgnum=195/,doudoune parajumpers, and the world's most advanced computer, is the kind of computing speed trillion times per second,nike tn pas cher, thousands of "big man",http://www.infocrystal.com/alink/apeboard_plus.cgi?command=read_message&msgnum=10/, it settles down to the meteorological department. But you know the big, complex arithmetic calculation of the value of the forecasts can be said that to the extent that "abnormal", the world's smartest computer will be "timid", fluid mechanics and thermodynamics for solving equations describing the evolution of weather When it is difficult to be perfect,http://lemvll.com/forum.php?mod=viewthread&tid=25122, so extreme,http://www.0751yw.com/117178-1-1.html, it remains to be the computing power continues to increase in the forecast demand in terms of its operation bias may still exist.</p>
<p> is also why, only one said the revised manual. Fourth, the forecast accuracy is also limited by means of observation. The birth of satellites, radar and other forecasters equivalent to using the placement of the "telescope",nike tn soldes, since the movement of the typhoon will not be able to escape the human eye,abercrombie italia, sudden heavy rainfall within the range of several hundred kilometers are no longer on chronic forecast a. But in fact,louboutin, these high-tech means of observation also have weaknesses. For example, polar-orbiting meteorological satellite from Earth closer, higher resolution, but it is impossible to observe a particular area intently when it deviates from this region in the movement in the region temporarily become observer "blind spot", while some Weather may happen to occur at this time. So bad, missing. In addition to these objective reasons, the weather forecast is not accurate but also with a number of subjective factors. From the perspective of forecasters say that forecasting is subject to the technical level.</p>
<p> forecasting experience constraints,Giuseppe Zanotti Paris, which goes without saying. In addition, forecasters bear responsibility too heavy, too much pressure, making it difficult to achieve easy battle, worry about their work. In fact, forecasters really is the world's most willing to say the truth,tn requin, which no man than forecasters predict more urgent desire can never miss, never acts. It was his duty, his obligation, he embodies the platform of social values and ethics. Therefore, once criticized the mistakes of leadership, influence public opinion, public accusations appear,scarpe hogan outlet, the weight of their own guilt often breathless,barbour france, that is difficult to erase the psychological shadow accompanied even his life.</p>