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  • Started 10 years ago by o5n4m8a9p

  1. <p> due to population reproduction of inertia and a low fertility rate of Chinese reality, this will not stop the train, but more open faster, until open to severe aging in the future. UBS Securities in its report entitled - report "Asian structural problems of aging of Asia",scarpe hogan, the Chinese investment as one of the riskiest countries,scarpe hogan, including severe aging and its impact on the consumer,scarpe hogan originali, the economy, society is the A key considerations.Aging reduces the activity of an economy,scarpe hogan, aging and low birth rate (ie, population aged 0 to 14 is too small) overlay, it means a huge pension risk. Pension will face "who pay less, many people pick up the money," the dilemma,hogan outlet roma, and reduce working-age population means that future pension services to enhance the price,hogan donna, there may even be difficult to buy the right conditions of the elderly rich services.Digital has clearly revealed the reality. The question is, what can we do to slow down the rate of aging? Heya Fu demographers believe that the aging population is not a pain,hogan scontate, but the long pain. Alleviate the aging population, the main method is to increase the total fertility rate to replacement level near the generations. This requires fertility policy to make major adjustments. Two children alone two children from single to double, fertility policy has changed, but compared with the reality of a demographic crisis, still lag.In a large population scholars, and now it was too late to adjust the birth policy. Department of Sociology,hogan sito ufficiale, Peking University demographers Lijianxin 1995 proposed the best smooth transition time adjusting birth policy is about 2000. Now from 2000 has been the past 15 years.</p>

    <p> is a normal stage of development of the population, there is nothing to make a fuss. Was it?From the demographic data we can see that it is China's aging fast speed of frightening, not the normal state of population development. According to United Nations population data published from 1990 to 2010 the population aging countries in the world average growth rate of 2.5 percent, China 3.3 percent. The aging process in developed countries for decades to a hundred years, 115 years such as France, the United States 60, Germany 40, Japan 24 years, and China in just 18 years.China's aging so ferocious.</p>

    <p> in the end is what caused the reason? According to demographic studies, we decided the degree of aging are two of the most critical reason - life expectancy and fertility levels. Japan is rapidly aging a typical complex reasons, one of the main reasons is longevity. 2010 Japanese life expectancy of 83 years, first in the world for 20 consecutive years. But life expectancy is only 76 years old Chinese people, the middle and lower levels of long-term in the world,hogan online, and its influence in the process of aging is also relatively low.Look fertility rate, the answer is not self-evident. Since 1991,parajumpers outlet online shop, China's total fertility rate has been 24 years in a row below the generation replacement level. Sixth census in 2010 showed that the total fertility rate was only 1.18 China. But the parties believe that the data exist false negatives. Chinese Academy of Social Sciences, Institute of Population and Labor Economics population projections experts Wang Guangzhou with Beijing University CFPS2010 (Chinese family dynamic follow-up survey),hogan roma, survey data from China Academy of Social Sciences and other institutions of the sixth census data are reviewed to determine the total fertility rate at around 1.4.According to "First Financial Daily" interview, 1.4 is the most demographers recognized total fertility levels. Some scholars believe that there may be lower than the actual total fertility rate 1.4. According to demographic criteria,scarpe hogan uomo, the total fertility rate below 1.5 means that already fall into the trap of low fertility.Japanese demographers Yoshikami bluntly.</p>

    <p> fertility policy adjustments also pause on a separate two children.Mr. Li believes that the population needs to advance the development of policy, because it changes itself is lagging behind, and there is a certain inertia and periodicity.</p>

    <p> China's aging population is increasing due to the one-child policy. Indeed,hogan italia, despite urbanization, delay childbearing so depressed fertility rate,hogan scarpe uomo rebel, but the one-child policy is still the major source of low fertility. According to Six P, in 2010 the proportion of the total population, China 0-14-year-olds only 16.6 percent, down 6.29 percentage points higher than a decade ago, has been in a serious declining birthrate level. Children born less,scarpe uomo hogan, life expectancy and growing, aging naturally intensified.With respect to the generation replacement level of 2.2,hogan interactive, 1.4 total fertility rate means that every generation (25 to 30 years) will shrink by 36 percent the number of births,hogan, two generations will shrink 60 percent. The number of births so fast shrinking,hogan outlet roma, the Chinese population is not old strange.AfterthoughtChina population aging train has started up.</p>

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